Global rainbow distribution under current and future climates

نویسندگان

چکیده

Rainbows contribute to human wellbeing by providing an inspiring connection nature. Because the rainbow is atmospheric optical phenomenon that results from refraction of sunlight rainwater droplets, changes in precipitation and cloud cover due anthropogenic climate forcing will alter distribution. Yet, we lack a basic understanding current spatial distribution rainbows how change might this pattern. To assess affect viewing opportunities, developed global database crowd-sourced photographed rainbows, trained empirical model occurrence, applied present-day three future scenarios. Results suggest average terrestrial location on Earth currently has 117 ± 71 days per year with conditions suitable for rainbows. By 2100, likely generate 4.0–4.9 % net increase mean annual rainbow-days (i.e., at least one rainbow), greatest under highest emission scenario. Around 21–34 land areas lose 66–79 gain rainbow-days, hotspots mainly high-latitude high-elevation regions smaller populations. Our research demonstrates alterations non-tangible environmental attributes could be significant are worthy consideration mitigation.

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Preserving biodiversity under current and future climates: a case study

Aim The conservation of biological and genetic diversity is a major goal of reserve systems at local, regional, and national levels. The International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources suggests a 12% threshold (area basis) for adequate protection of biological and genetic diversity of a plant community. However, thresholds based on area may protect only a small portion ...

متن کامل

Patterns of crop cover under future climates

We study changes in crop cover under future climate and socio-economic projections. This study is not only organised around the global and regional adaptation or vulnerability to climate change but also includes the influence of projected changes in socio-economic, technological and biophysical drivers, especially regional gross domestic product. The climatic data are obtained from simulations ...

متن کامل

The role of climatic mapping in predicting the potential geographical distribution of non-indigenous pests under current and future climates

Climatic mapping, which predicts the potential distribution of organisms in new areas and under future climates based on their responses to climate in their home range, has recently been criticised for ignoring dispersal and interactions between species, such as competition, predation and parasitism. In order to determine whether these criticisms are justified, the different procedures employed...

متن کامل

Sugarcane model intercomparison: Structural differences and uncertainties under current and potential future climates

Sugarcane is one of the world's main carbohydrates sources. We analysed the APSIM-Sugar (AS) and DSSAT/CANEGRO (DC) models to determine their structural differences, and how these differences affect their predictions of crop growth and production. The AS model under predicted yield at the hotter sites, because the algorithm for computing the degree-days is based in only one upper cardinal tempe...

متن کامل

Regional modeling of large wildfires under current and potential future climates in Colorado and Wyoming, USA

Regional analysis of large wildfire potential given climate change scenarios is crucial to understanding areas most at risk in the future, yet wildfire models are not often developed and tested at this spatial scale. We fit three historical climate suitability models for large wildfires (i.e. ≥ 400 ha) in Colorado andWyoming using topography and decadal climate averages corresponding to wildfir...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Global Environmental Change-human and Policy Dimensions

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['0959-3780', '1872-9495']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2022.102604